The State of the Economy for July 2026

US consumer spending has been remarkedly resilient. But will consumers' patience run out?  

 

It's one of the questions on the minds of economists, including Allen Li, Associate Economist at The Conference Board. In this episode of C-Suite Perspectives, Erik Lundh, Global Senior Economist, The Conference Board talks with Allen about the US Consumer Confidence Index. 

 

They begin by examining the latest US Consumer Confidence Survey, discussing why confidence declined in July, how consumers are thinking about inflation, interest rates, employment, and recession risks, and what those expectations could mean for spending in the months ahead. 

 

In the second half of the conversation, the focus shifts to the global economic forecast. Erik explains the reasoning behind the improved global outlook and the shift from consumption-led growth toward investment-led growth in the US. 

 

For more from The Conference Board: 

• US Consumer Confidence 

• Forecast for the US Economy 

• Global Economic Outlook